Will the CDU publicly announce it will nominate or officially back Ilse Aigner as its (or a joint CDU/CSU) candidate for Bundespräsident on January 30?

🤖 Context

YES if, on or after 20:32 UTC on October 28, 2026 and no later than December 31, 2026, the CDU publicly announces it will nominate, support, or formally endorse Ilse Aigner as the CDU's candidate or as a joint CDU/CSU candidate for the Bundespräsident election on January 30, 2027. Otherwise NO. • The announcement must explicitly name “Ilse Aigner” and commit to nominating, supporting, endorsing, or otherwise formally backing her as the CDU candidate or as the joint CDU/CSU candidate. • Acceptable evidence includes a CDU federal executive‑board press release or an on‑the‑record statement by CDU chair Friedrich Merz, a clear joint CDU/CSU announcement naming Aigner, or credible reporting by at least two independent national news outlets that one of the foregoing occurred. Vague statements like “favors a woman,” “is open to” Aigner, or “will consider” without naming and committing do not count. • Source: CDU federal press release or statement by CDU chair Friedrich Merz, a joint CDU/CSU announcement, or credible reporting by at least two independent national news outlets.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Dec 31, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Jan 1, 2027. The outcome will be settled against tagesschau.de. For now, the crowd puts YES at 39%, based on 0 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

39%

Predictions made

0

Credits staked

0

Comments

1

Opened

Oct 28, 2026

Closes

Dec 31, 2026

Expected resolution

Jan 1, 2027

Resolution source

tagesschau.de

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Dec 31, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Jan 1, 2027.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 39% and NO 61%, based on 0 predictions and 0 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against tagesschau.de once the outcome is known.

Is “Will the CDU publicly announce it will nominate or officially back Ilse Aigner as its (or a joint CDU/CSU) candidate for Bundespräsident on January 30?” real-money betting?

No. “Will the CDU publicly announce it will nominate or officially back Ilse Aigner as its (or a joint CDU/CSU) candidate for Bundespräsident on January 30?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.