🚀Science·SpaceCloses Oct 30
Will Falcon 9 place all 27 Starlink V2 Mini satellites into low Earth orbit?
72%
+10% last 24h
1868 bets · 64.3K credits47
Details →
ScienceOpened Jun 6 · Results Jun 18
Will the Ariane 6 VA269 launch of 36 Amazon Leo satellites on June 17, 2026 succeed in fully deploying all satellites into operational orbit?
79%
Stable · last 24h
📊 50 bettors💎 812 at stake
ResolvedYes
Resolved: Yes
Results Jun 18🤖 Context
YES if all 36 Amazon Leo satellites aboard the Ariane 6 VA269 mission are confirmed operational in their intended low‑Earth orbit segments within 24 hours of launch; NO if fewer than 36 are confirmed operational by that time.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
Yes79%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 79% sure, and they nailed it.
Key facts
- Crowd probability
- 79%
- Predictions made
- 50
- Credits staked
- 812
- Comments
- 0
- Opened
- Jun 6, 2026
- Closes
- Jun 17, 2026
- Resolved
- Jun 18, 2026
- Outcome
- Yes
💬 0 comments
No comments yet. Start the conversation!
Related predictions
See all →🌦️Science·WeatherCloses Oct 31 · Results Nov 1
Will an El Niño be explicitly declared as occurring?
77%
Stable · last 24h
1082 bets · 38.1K credits12
Details →🚀Science·SpaceCloses Oct 31 · Results Nov 1
Will SpaceX make at least one Starship orbital launch attempt that achieves vertical liftoff?
62%
Stable · last 24h
1044 bets · 35.8K credits15
Details →🌦️Science·WeatherCloses Oct 30 · Results Nov 4
Will Hurricane Vance make landfall in Mexico as a tropical cyclone?
38%
-3% last 24h
462 bets · 14.4K credits7
Details →🚀Science·SpaceCloses Oct 30
Will Falcon 9 booster B10893 touch down on and be recovered from droneship Of Course I Still Love You after the Starlink 15-18 launch?
38%
-1% last 24h
455 bets · 17K credits4
Details →🚀Science·SpaceCloses Oct 30
Will the Falcon 9 for Starlink 15‑18 lift off from Vandenberg (SLC‑4E) on October 29?
89%
Stable · last 24h
352 bets · 13.6K credits5
Details →