Will a public protest or march take place in Paris on October 31?

95%
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31%
Stable · last 24h
YES if, no later than November 30, 2026, two or more independent, authoritative news outlets report that the Assemblea Nacional Catalana (ANC) convened or held a summit of civil pro‑independence organisations explicitly described as to prepare a 'gran movilización' for the 2027 Diada. Preferably this is supported by an ANC official announcement on the ANC website. Otherwise NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Nov 30, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Dec 1, 2026. The outcome will be settled against efe.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 31%, based on 414 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledGiven the ANC's history of mobilization and the upcoming Diada, I expect they'll hold a summit by the deadline. Too much at stake not to. Expect confirmation soon.

95%
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74%
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94%
Stable · last 24h

34%
+21% last 24h

40%
Stable · last 24h

65%
Stable · last 24h
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