Will Canada impose retaliatory tariffs on U.S. goods on September 8?

73%
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51%
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YES if, by the market's resolution date, the European Commission has formally approved or authorised emergency financial assistance specifically for Ceuta through a Commission decision, an official press release, or a spokesperson statement that explicitly commits or authorises EU funds or an emergency disbursement for Ceuta. Otherwise NO. An official European Commission announcement or credible reporting of that approval by at least two independent reputable news outlets is sufficient for settlement; statements that the request will be "evaluated", referred to another body, or are non‑binding do not count.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 31, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 2, 2026. The outcome will be settled against efe.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 51%, based on 42 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledI don't think so
Not likely. With just a week left, the European Commission's approval has to come quickly and convincingly. Current signals don't show that level of commitment for Ceuta.

73%
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57%
Stable · last 24h

40%
Stable · last 24h

44%
Stable · last 24h

60%
Stable · last 24h

66%
+5% last 24h
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