Will SpaceX's Falcon 9 carrying the final three O3b mPOWER satellites lift off from SLC‑40 at Cape Canaveral on September 13?

🤖 Context

YES if SpaceX or reputable news outlets report that the Falcon 9 physically lifted off (engine ignition followed by clearing the tower and ascending) from SLC‑40 at Cape Canaveral Space Force Station at any time on September 13, 2026 (local date, Eastern Daylight Time). An on‑pad abort before tower clearance counts as NO. Preferred authoritative sources are SpaceX mission statements or Spaceflight Now. Independent outlets such as Reuters, AP or Space.com are acceptable.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Sep 13, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 13, 2026. The outcome will be settled against spaceflightnow.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 74%, based on 137 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

74%

Predictions made

137

Credits staked

5,524

Comments

1

Opened

Sep 13, 2026

Closes

Sep 13, 2026

Expected resolution

Sep 13, 2026

Resolution source

spaceflightnow.com

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Sep 13, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Sep 13, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 74% and NO 26%, based on 137 predictions and 5.5K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against spaceflightnow.com once the outcome is known.

Is “Will SpaceX's Falcon 9 carrying the final three O3b mPOWER satellites lift off from SLC‑40 at Cape Canaveral on September 13?” real-money betting?

No. “Will SpaceX's Falcon 9 carrying the final three O3b mPOWER satellites lift off from SLC‑40 at Cape Canaveral on September 13?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.