🌦️Science·WeatherCloses Sep 3
Will tropical cyclone Karina reach Saffir‑Simpson Category 4 intensity?
77%
+42% last 24h
2002 bets · 60K credits6
Details →
ScienceResults Jul 1
Will Sophie Adenot dock at the ISS by June 30, 2026?
48%
Stable · last 24h
📊 27 bettors💎 730 at stake
ResolvedYes
Resolved: Yes
Results Jul 1🤖 Context
YES if French ESA astronaut Sophie Adenot docks at the International Space Station (ISS) by 23:59 UTC on June 30, 2026. NO otherwise.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
Yes48%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 52% sure, and they got it wrong.
Key facts
- Crowd probability
- 48%
- Predictions made
- 27
- Credits staked
- 730
- Comments
- 0
- Opened
- May 25, 2026
- Closes
- Jun 30, 2026
- Resolved
- Jul 2, 2026
- Outcome
- Yes
- Resolution source
- esa.int
🔍 Sources
Sources used to resolve this market
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