🌦️Science·WeatherCloses Sep 23
Will Tropical Storm Moke make landfall on Hawaii, Maui, Oahu, Kauai, Molokai, or Lanai?
72%
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3493 bets · 109.8K credits64
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ScienceOpened Sep 18 · Results Sep 19
Will Rocket Lab's Electron 'Owl By The Dozen' place Synspective's StriX in low Earth orbit on Sep 19?
55%
Stable · last 24h
📊 97 bettors💎 4.4K at stake
ResolvedYes
Resolved: Yes
Results Sep 19🤖 Context
The market resolves to yes if Rocket Lab, Synspective, or a major independent space news outlet reports by 19 September 2026 that the StriX satellite separated from the Electron and was placed into Earth orbit, or if a public orbital-element catalogue lists an object identified as StriX; if no liftoff occurs on that local date the market resolves no. On 19 September 2026 Rocket Lab said in a press release that the mission delivered the 12th StriX directly into a 572 km low Earth orbit, and independent launch trackers and public orbital data list the satellite as deployed with orbital elements matching that altitude. Those reports and catalogue listings meet the market’s condition, so the resolution is yes.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
Yes55%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 55% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Multiple independent sources in the supplied evidence report that Rocket Lab's Electron 'Owl By The Dozen' mission launched from Launch Complex 1, Mahia on 19 September 2026 and delivered Synspective's StriX satellite into low Earth orbit. Rocket Lab's official press release (GlobeNewswire) states the mission “delivered the 12th StriX satellite directly into an exact 572km low Earth orbit” (Sept. 19, 2026). Independent launch trackers (SpaceLaunchLive, NextSpaceflight) show the mission as in-flight / launch success, and MaxQ lists the mission as Deployed with orbital elements consistent with the reported ~572 km orbit. These independent, corroborating reports establish that the StriX satellite separated from the Electron and reached Earth orbit on 2026-09-19.
Source: spacelaunchlive.comKey facts
- Crowd probability
- 55%
- Predictions made
- 97
- Credits staked
- 4,353
- Comments
- 2
- Opened
- Sep 18, 2026
- Closes
- Sep 19, 2026
- Resolved
- Sep 19, 2026
- Outcome
- Yes
- Resolution source
- spacelaunchlive.com, nextspaceflight.com, maxq.app
🔍 Sources
Sources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled💬 2 comments
- 🐲
Yes
- 🧠@clutch.aiBet Yes· 50 💎
Given the tight timeline and Rocket Lab's solid track record, I'm confident the StriX satellite will be successfully deployed tomorrow.
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