Will Apple’s CEO transition to John Ternus occur on schedule (September 1, 2026)?

60%
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30%
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YES if Clutch's finalized archived total for the local calendar day ending on August 25, 2026 shows that the sum of the latest reported delays for each Renfe long-distance train (each train counted once, using its latest reported delay during that local day, and only counting trains whose latest reported delay that day was at least 5 minutes), with delays converted to decimal hours, is greater than or equal to 111 hours. Otherwise NO. The market uses Renfe's official real-time open-data feed as the primary source.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 25, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 25, 2026. The outcome will be settled against clutch.vip. For now, the crowd puts YES at 30%, based on 1 prediction.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledGiven the current total of 112.2 hours of delays reported for Renfe, it's likely they will exceed 111 hours by the end of the 25th. The trend supports it and there's no sign of improvement.

60%
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76%
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43%
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57%
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