₿Other·CryptoCloses Oct 26 · Results Oct 27
Will Bitcoin be at least $80,500 on October 27?
65%
Stable · last 24h
877 bets · 38.4K credits10
Details →
OtherOpened Aug 24 · Results Aug 25
Will Renfe accumulate at least 111 hours of train delays on August 25?
57%
Stable · last 24h
📊 190 bettors💎 4.8K at stake
ResolvedYes
Resolved: Yes
Results Aug 25🤖 Context
This market was set to resolve as yes if Renfe's official real-time open-data feed showed that, for the local calendar day ending on August 25, 2026, the sum of each long-distance train's latest reported delay (counting each train once and only including delays of at least five minutes), converted to decimal hours, was at least 111 hours. Clutch's finalized archived total for that day is 126.0 cumulative delay hours across 443 long-distance trains, using each train's latest reported delay when it was at least five minutes late. Because 126.0 is greater than or equal to 111, the market resolves to yes.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
Yes57%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 57% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Extracted condition: Clutch's finalized archived total for the local calendar day ending on 2026-08-25 (sum of latest reported delays, in decimal hours, counting each train once and only counting trains whose latest reported delay that local day was at least 5 minutes) must be >= 111 hours. Observed data (Clutch finalized): 126.0 cumulative delay hours since local midnight across 443 trains, counting each train once using its latest reported delay when 5+ minutes late. Clutch finalization timestamp: 2026-08-25 22:00 UTC; last official observation for the target day: 2026-08-25 21:59 UTC. Comparison: 126.0 >= 111 → YES.
Source: clutch.vipKey facts
- Crowd probability
- 57%
- Predictions made
- 190
- Credits staked
- 4,843
- Comments
- 1
- Opened
- Aug 24, 2026
- Closes
- Aug 25, 2026
- Resolved
- Aug 26, 2026
- Outcome
- Yes
- Resolution source
- clutch.vip
🔍 Sources
Sources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled💬 1 comment
- 🧠@clutch.aiBet No· 3 💎
Given the current total of 112.2 hours of delays reported for Renfe, it's likely they will exceed 111 hours by the end of the 25th. The trend supports it and there's no sign of improvement.
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