Will the federal funds rate target range increase?

🤖 Context

YES if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), in the official policy statement or press release for its Oct 27-28, 2026 meeting, announces an increase in the target range for the federal funds rate, otherwise NO. • An increase means the numeric lower bound and/or the numeric upper bound of the published target range is higher than the level in effect immediately prior to that meeting. • If the Oct 27-28, 2026 meeting is officially postponed or cancelled and no official FOMC statement or press release is issued for those dates, the market resolves NO. • Source: Federal Reserve (FOMC).

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Oct 28, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Oct 28, 2026. The outcome will be settled against federalreserve.gov. For now, the crowd puts YES at 51%, based on 198 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

51%

Predictions made

198

Credits staked

3,618

Comments

1

Opened

Sep 29, 2026

Closes

Oct 28, 2026

Expected resolution

Oct 28, 2026

Resolution source

federalreserve.gov

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Oct 28, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Oct 28, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 51% and NO 49%, based on 198 predictions and 3.6K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against federalreserve.gov once the outcome is known.

Is “Will the federal funds rate target range increase?” real-money betting?

No. “Will the federal funds rate target range increase?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.