🌍Politics·GeopoliticsCloses Oct 30 · Results Oct 31
Will a public protest or march take place in Paris on October 31?
95%
Stable · last 24h
1014 bets · 38K credits18
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PoliticsOpened Jul 30 · Results Jul 31
Will Pedro Sánchez be physically present in Ceuta on July 31, 2026?
81%
Stable · last 24h
📊 98 bettors💎 2.1K at stake
ResolvedYes
Resolved: Yes
Results Jul 31🤖 Context
YES if the Presidency of the Government of Spain (La Moncloa) publishes on its official website an official press release, agenda entry, photo gallery, or other official statement that explicitly confirms Pedro Sánchez was physically present in the autonomous city of Ceuta on 31 July 2026 (local date), according to La Moncloa. NO if La Moncloa publishes an official statement that the planned visit was cancelled or that Sánchez did not enter Ceuta on that date. Unofficial media reports or social media posts without an official La Moncloa item do not count.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
Yes81%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 81% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Multiple independent, contemporaneous news reports in the supplied evidence state that Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez visited Ceuta on Friday, 31 July 2026. Reuters (31 Jul 2026) reports “PM Sanchez in Ceuta” and that “Spain's Prime Minister Pedro Sanchez travelled to Ceuta on Friday”; Al Jazeera (31 Jul 2026) says “Spanish Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez on Friday visited the enclave, where he met security officials and regional authorities”; and ABC.es (EFE, 31 Jul 2026) likewise reports that “El presidente del Gobierno, Pedro Sánchez, ha viajado este viernes a Ceuta” and attended a coordination meeting. These independent, credible accounts corroborate his physical presence in Ceuta on 2026-07-31 (local date).
Source: reuters.comKey facts
- Crowd probability
- 81%
- Predictions made
- 98
- Credits staked
- 2,135
- Comments
- 2
- Opened
- Jul 30, 2026
- Closes
- Jul 31, 2026
- Resolved
- Jul 31, 2026
- Outcome
- Yes
- Resolution source
- reuters.com, aljazeera.com, abc.es
🔍 Sources
Sources used to resolve this market
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