Will Elon Musk post fewer than 40 times?

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YES if the event named "Paris Games Week" has at least one calendar day between October 22, 2026 and October 25, 2026 inclusive during which it is open to the general public in person at Paris Expo Porte de Versailles, for example if tickets are sold to the general public or attendees are admitted. Resolution based on the Paris Games Week official website or the organiser's press releases and confirmed by French news coverage. Otherwise NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Oct 21, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Oct 26, 2026. The outcome will be settled against jeuxvideo.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 97%, based on 391 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledGiven the event's popularity, I expect at least one public day open at Paris Expo from October 22-25. Tickets will likely be sold, so I’m confident it’ll happen.

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