Will Elon Musk post fewer than 40 times?

🤖 Context

YES if the publicly recorded count for @elonmusk on X, as measured by the "Post Counter" on XTracker or by direct inspection of @elonmusk's public timeline on X, shows fewer than 40 posts made between September 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET and September 16, 2026 12:00 PM ET inclusive. Count only main‑feed posts, quote posts and reposts, and exclude replies except those that appear on the main feed. Deleted posts count if they were captured by the tracker, and mainstream reporting that reproduces the same count is acceptable.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Sep 16, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 18, 2026. The outcome will be settled against clutch.vip. For now, the crowd puts YES at 62%, based on 187 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

62%

Predictions made

187

Credits staked

5,767

Comments

1

Opened

Sep 14, 2026

Closes

Sep 16, 2026

Expected resolution

Sep 18, 2026

Resolution source

clutch.vip

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Sep 16, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Sep 18, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 62% and NO 38%, based on 187 predictions and 5.8K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against clutch.vip once the outcome is known.

Is “Will Elon Musk post fewer than 40 times?” real-money betting?

No. “Will Elon Musk post fewer than 40 times?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.