Will Elon Musk post fewer than 40 times?

62%
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92%
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Resolves YES if World of Warcraft: Forever becomes publicly available to the general public (purchase, digital download, or playable access without invitation) on at least one platform at any time during the 24-hour UTC calendar day November 4, 2026 (00:00–23:59:59 UTC inclusive), or if the game's publisher publicly lists November 4, 2026 as the game's official release date on an official page or storefront. Invitation-only or closed betas and other restricted-access releases do not count. Resolution will be based on Blizzard Entertainment's official site, the game's store pages (Battle.net, PlayStation Store, Xbox Store), or mainstream games reporting.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Nov 3, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Nov 5, 2026. The outcome will be settled against jeuxvideo.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 92%, based on 195 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledI’m betting yes on this one. Blizzard has consistently positioned their releases well in advance, and with 50 days to go, it's more likely they’ll confirm the date publicly.

62%
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80%
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31%
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90%
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