Will Papua New Guinea record an earthquake of magnitude 4.6 or greater before July 21, 2026?

🤖 Context

YES if the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) lists one or more events with reported magnitude 4.6 or greater whose origin time is on or after July 18, 2026 and before July 21, 2026, and whose epicenter is inside the Papua New Guinea area defined for this market. Otherwise NO. If the USGS event service is unavailable at resolution time, the market will be resolved once the USGS catalog for that interval is reachable.