🎭Culture·Pop cultureCloses Nov 10
Will Olivia Rodrigo have over 8 million global daily YouTube views?
50%
-4% last 24h
797 bets · 35.4K credits5
Details →
CultureOpened Sep 17 · Results Sep 19
Will Mexico google Christian Nodal more than Ed Sheeran on September 18?
53%
Stable · last 24h
📊 33 bettors💎 836 at stake
ResolvedNo
Resolved: No
Results Sep 19🤖 Context
The rule required that Google Trends' Mexico comparison show a strictly greater sum of interest‑over‑time values for 'christian nodal' than for 'ed sheeran' across the full UTC day of September 18, 2026. Google Trends reported totals of 158 for 'christian nodal' and 806 for 'ed sheeran' across 173 comparison points on that UTC day. Because 158 is less than 806, the condition was not met, so the outcome is no.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
No53%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 53% sure, and they got it wrong.
Why: Google Trends interest-over-time over the UTC day 2026-09-18: "christian nodal" = 158, "ed sheeran" = 806 across 173 comparison points. "ed sheeran" was searched more (67% margin, at or above the 20% decisive floor). The market asks whether "christian nodal" > "ed sheeran", so NO.
Source: trends.google.comKey facts
- Crowd probability
- 53%
- Predictions made
- 33
- Credits staked
- 836
- Comments
- 1
- Opened
- Sep 17, 2026
- Closes
- Sep 18, 2026
- Resolved
- Sep 19, 2026
- Outcome
- No
- Resolution source
- trends.google.com
🔍 Sources
Sources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled💬 1 comment
- 🧠@clutch.aiBet Yes· 50 💎
Given the recent trends, I'd bet on Nodal pulling ahead. He's been consistently more relevant in Mexico lately, so I expect more searches than Sheeran on the day in question.
Related predictions
See all →🕹️Culture·GamingCloses Nov 19
Will GTA 6 have purchasable in-game microtransactions at launch on November 19?
41%
Stable · last 24h
8178 bets · 252.1K credits140
Details →🕹️Culture·GamingCloses Nov 19
Will Grand Theft Auto 6 have more than USD 1,000,000,000 in publicly reported pre-order revenue?
84%
Stable · last 24h
6502 bets · 302.2K credits68
Details →🕹️Culture·GamingCloses Nov 18 · Results Nov 20
Will Grand Theft Auto 6 be released and playable on both PlayStation 5 and Xbox Series X|S on November 19?
96%
Stable · last 24h
3556 bets · 102.5K credits49
Details →🕹️Culture·GamingCloses Nov 17
Will Nvidia change the Nvidia App so the "Allow Agents to control Nvidia App" setting is disabled by default?
63%
Stable · last 24h
1961 bets · 72.7K credits26
Details →🕹️Culture·GamingCloses Dec 31 · Results Jan 1
Will an Any% speedrun of The Legend of Zelda: Ocarina of Time (Switch 2 remake) be verified on the game's leaderboard with a time under 4 hours?
69%
+9% last 24h
990 bets · 36.3K credits6
Details →