Will Sophie Adenot return to Earth and land or splash down?

91%
Stable · last 24h

65%
+4% last 24h
YES if measurable precipitation of at least 0.1 mm liquid is observed at or immediately over the WWK Arena at any time during the interval 10 October 2026 from 15:30 through 17:30 local time, inclusive, otherwise NO. • Measurable precipitation means at least 0.1 mm liquid at the stadium. • Counts as evidence: Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) station observation or DWD radar showing precipitation at the stadium coordinates; validated stadium webcam image/video or broadcaster footage showing falling rain; or match reports from two or more independent mainstream outlets. If the match is postponed, cancelled, or not played at the scheduled stadium/time, the market resolves NO. • Source: Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD); validated stadium webcams; broadcasters; independent mainstream news outlets.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Oct 10, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Oct 10, 2026. The outcome will be settled against wetter.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 65%, based on 0 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledGiven the forecast, there's a solid chance of rain during the match window. With measurable precipitation expected, I'd bet on a YES here.

91%
Stable · last 24h

49%
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45%
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50%
Stable · last 24h

54%
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40%
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