Will Luis Redondo, former president of the National Congress, be arrested or detained by Honduran authorities?

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Resolved: Yes
Results Oct 31YES if the Préfecture des Bouches‑du‑Rhône publishes an official arrêté or communiqué no later than 23:59 CET on October 31, 2026 that explicitly prohibits public demonstrations in the city of Marseille on October 31, 2026 except those organized by registered trade unions. Otherwise NO. • The text must explicitly forbid non‑union demonstrations city‑wide or state that only union‑organized demonstrations are permitted. • A press comment or recommendation without a formal arrêté or communiqué does not count. • If a court suspends or annuls the order before 23:59 CET on October 31, 2026, resolve according to the official published status as of that time. • Source: Préfecture des Bouches‑du‑Rhône.
How markets are built and settled37%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 63% sure, and they got it wrong.
Why: Unannounced protests have been banned.
Source: lefigaro.frSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledI don't think that the protests tomorrow, Saturday, October 31, are banned. They will therefore be allowed on the route that has been approved.
The official orders for 'Act III' on October 31 were unveiled this Friday, October 30. Unlike last weekend when a total ban had initially been pronounced, the prefecture has softened its stance.
I don't think so 🤷🏼♀️
The Minister of the Interior announced it last night.
No, I don't think so.

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