Will Algeria restore the death penalty for people who deliberately set wildfires?

69%
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74%
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YES if Judge William E. Sullivan formally declares a mistrial in Lindsay Clancy’s criminal murder trial in open court, or if the Plymouth Superior Court docket records an entry of 'mistrial' or 'trial declared a mistrial', no later than September 10, 2026. A partial mistrial for some counts counts as YES only if the judge explicitly declares the entire criminal trial a mistrial of all counts. A jury deadlock without a formal mistrial declaration by that date is NO. Resolution will be based on the Plymouth Superior Court docket, Massachusetts Trial Court public records, and contemporaneous reporting by major outlets.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 10, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 11, 2026. The outcome will be settled against san.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 74%, based on 3 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledGiven the tight deadline and the current lack of indication for a mistrial, it's unlikely we'll see a declaration by Judge Sullivan. A deadlock won't count, so I'm calling NO.

69%
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47%
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54%
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20%
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51%
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47%
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