Will Algeria restore the death penalty for people who deliberately set wildfires?

🤖 Context

YES if, no later than September 15, 2026, Algerian authorities have formally enacted and published a law or Penal Code amendment that restores the death penalty specifically for people convicted of deliberately setting wildfires or equivalent arson offences, as reported by at least two independent reputable news organisations (for example AFP, Reuters, AP, BBC, Al Jazeera), or corroborated by publication in the Algerian Journal Officiel or a Ministry of Justice statement. NO otherwise. A presidential statement of intent, a draft bill, investigations or arrests, or a decree that does not result in a published law by the deadline are NO.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Sep 14, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 16, 2026. The outcome will be settled against rfi.fr. For now, the crowd puts YES at 61%, based on 22 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

61%

Predictions made

22

Credits staked

555

Comments

1

Opened

Sep 2, 2026

Closes

Sep 14, 2026

Expected resolution

Sep 16, 2026

Resolution source

rfi.fr

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Sep 14, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Sep 16, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 61% and NO 39%, based on 22 predictions and 555 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against rfi.fr once the outcome is known.

Is “Will Algeria restore the death penalty for people who deliberately set wildfires?” real-money betting?

No. “Will Algeria restore the death penalty for people who deliberately set wildfires?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.