Will Kupreanof reach 'WATCH' (heightened alert) or higher?

🤖 Context

YES if the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) Volcano Hazards Program publishes a Volcano Notification Service (VNS) notice or updates its Volcano Updates page showing Kupreanof's official USGS Volcano Alert Level was set to 'WATCH' (heightened alert) or 'WARNING' at any time strictly after 00:00 on August 16, 2026 and no later than 00:00 on August 19, 2026, according to the U.S. Geological Survey Volcano Hazards Program. Otherwise NO.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Aug 16, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 19, 2026. The outcome will be settled against usgs.gov. For now, the crowd puts YES at 52%, based on 9 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

52%

Predictions made

9

Credits staked

137

Comments

1

Opened

Aug 15, 2026

Closes

Aug 16, 2026

Expected resolution

Aug 19, 2026

Resolution source

usgs.gov

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Aug 16, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Aug 19, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 52% and NO 48%, based on 9 predictions and 137 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against usgs.gov once the outcome is known.

Is “Will Kupreanof reach 'WATCH' (heightened alert) or higher?” real-money betting?

No. “Will Kupreanof reach 'WATCH' (heightened alert) or higher?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.