Will Hurricane Rachel make landfall on the Baja California Peninsula?

🤖 Context

YES if the center of Hurricane Rachel moves ashore on the Baja California Peninsula no later than October 12, 2026, otherwise NO. • "Moved ashore" means the storm's circulation center crosses the coastline. Coastal flooding, large swells, or erosion alone do not count. • Source: National Hurricane Center (NHC), Mexico's CONAGUA/SMN, or at least two independent major news organizations.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Oct 13, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Oct 13, 2026. The outcome will be settled against foxweather.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 81%, based on 209 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

81%

Predictions made

209

Credits staked

6,358

Comments

2

Opened

Oct 8, 2026

Closes

Oct 13, 2026

Expected resolution

Oct 13, 2026

Resolution source

foxweather.com

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Oct 13, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Oct 13, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 81% and NO 19%, based on 209 predictions and 6.4K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against foxweather.com once the outcome is known.

Is “Will Hurricane Rachel make landfall on the Baja California Peninsula?” real-money betting?

No. “Will Hurricane Rachel make landfall on the Baja California Peninsula?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.