Will Tropical Storm Moke make landfall on Hawaii, Maui, Oahu, Kauai, Molokai, or Lanai?

74%
+1% last 24h

56%
Stable · last 24h
Market closed. Awaiting resolution.
Awaiting resultYES if any official meteorological observing station located within the administrative boundaries of the city of Hamburg reports a maximum instantaneous wind gust of at least 50.0 km/h at any time between 00:00 and 23:59:59 local time on 21 September 2026 (inclusive). Preferred sources are Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) station observations or the Hamburg Airport (EDDH) METAR. Observations published in other units will be converted to km/h; radar estimates, unofficial social‑media posts, or modeled gusts without confirmation by a station/METAR do not count.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 20, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 21, 2026. The outcome will be settled against wetter.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 56%, based on 82 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledThere's a solid chance for a gust of 50 km/h with tomorrow’s forecast looking breezy. Hamburg's weather can surprise, but conditions favor it this time.

74%
+1% last 24h

76%
Stable · last 24h

65%
Stable · last 24h

69%
Stable · last 24h

36%
-18% last 24h

74%
+50% last 24h
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