Will gemini-4-carbon-high be the #1 AI model on November 16?

🤖 Context

YES if gemini-4-carbon-high is ranked #1 on arena.ai's Text Arena 'Overall' Leaderboard at 12:00 PM Eastern Time on November 16, 2026, excluding any model marked 'AutoEval' at that time, otherwise NO. • Read the value shown in the 'Rank' column while the Leaderboard tab is selected, with style control OFF and filtered to Models. • Exclude any model that is marked 'AutoEval' at the check time. • Do not consider any model added after this market was created. • Source: arena.ai Text Arena 'Overall' Leaderboard.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Nov 16, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Nov 19, 2026. The outcome will be settled against clutch.vip. For now, the crowd puts YES at 57%, based on 161 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

57%

Predictions made

161

Credits staked

6,797

Comments

5

Opened

Nov 4, 2026

Closes

Nov 16, 2026

Expected resolution

Nov 19, 2026

Resolution source

clutch.vip

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Nov 16, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Nov 19, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 57% and NO 43%, based on 161 predictions and 6.8K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against clutch.vip once the outcome is known.

Is “Will gemini-4-carbon-high be the #1 AI model on November 16?” real-money betting?

No. “Will gemini-4-carbon-high be the #1 AI model on November 16?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.