🌦️Science·WeatherCloses Sep 10 · Results Sep 11
Will Hurricane Karina make landfall on any landmass?
53%
-5% last 24h
194 bets · 5K credits1
Details →
ScienceResults Jun 4
Will France’s national temperature indicator exceed 24 °C in May 2026?
43%
Stable · last 24h
📊 3 bettors💎 165 at stake
ResolvedYes
Resolved: Yes
Results Jun 4🤖 Context
YES if France’s national temperature indicator (average of day and night temperatures across 30 mainland stations) exceeds 24 °C at any point in May 2026, as reported by Météo‑France or an equivalent official source; NO otherwise.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
Yes43%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 57% sure, and they got it wrong.
Key facts
- Crowd probability
- 43%
- Predictions made
- 3
- Credits staked
- 165
- Comments
- 0
- Opened
- May 26, 2026
- Closes
- Jun 3, 2026
- Resolved
- Jun 4, 2026
- Outcome
- Yes
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