🚀Science·SpaceCloses Oct 27
Will the Falcon 9 first stage on Starlink 15-16 land successfully on the droneship 'Of Course I Still Love You'?
90%
Stable · last 24h
272 bets · 11.6K credits7
Details →
ScienceOpened Oct 25 · Results Oct 26
Will fewer than 100,000 electricity customers in mainland France be without power?
72%
-1% last 24h
📊 415 bettors💎 15.5K at stake
ResolvedYes
Resolved: Yes
Results Oct 26🤖 Context
YES if the total number of electricity customers in mainland France reported as without power is strictly less than 100,000 no later than 07:00 on October 26, 2026, otherwise NO. • If only official regional figures are published by that time, their sum will be used. • Do not accept estimates that come only from social media or crowd-sourced maps. • Source: Enedis (preferred) or official prefectural situation reports.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
Yes72%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 72% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Upon googling, I found several articles pointing to just under 60,000 are without power currently
Source: ground.newsKey facts
- Crowd probability
- 72%
- Predictions made
- 415
- Credits staked
- 15,525
- Comments
- 10
- Opened
- Oct 25, 2026
- Closes
- Oct 26, 2026
- Resolved
- Oct 26, 2026
- Outcome
- Yes
- Resolution source
- ground.news
🔍 Sources
Sources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled💬 10 comments
- 💎
it's a bad click ;) : Thanks to the intervention of the Enedis teams, this number quickly dropped to about 40,000 customers cut off nationwide on Sunday, October 25, at the end of the day
- 🔥
The weather will be mild, according to Météo France, calm is returning and the sun is taking over. A return to flexibility after so many alerts.
- 🦊
🤣
- 👽
The context 😅
- 🦊
That 59,000
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