Will Canada impose retaliatory tariffs on U.S. goods on September 8?

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68%
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Resolved: No
Results Jul 25This market will resolve to 'YES' if Colt Gray is sentenced to life imprisonment without the possibility of parole on July 24, 2026. It will resolve to 'NO' if he receives a different sentence, such as a lesser term or a different form of sentencing.
How markets are built and settled68%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 68% sure, and they got it wrong.
Why: Multiple contemporaneous news reports from July 24, 2026 (CNN, ABC, NBC, CBS) show Colt Gray pleaded guilty and that the sentencing phase began that day (victim impact statements and evidence were presented), but they explicitly report the judge did not impose a final sentence on July 24 and that the hearing was expected to resume/continue the following week. None of the supplied sources reports that Gray was sentenced on July 24 to life without parole; instead they state the judge must still decide whether parole eligibility will be allowed. This is positive evidence that the specific event in the question did not occur on July 24, 2026.
Source: cnn.comSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledoh, for sure he's getting life without parole. the way things are going, the judge will throw the book at him and then some 📚

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