Will Canada publicly commit to buying 88 F-35 jets?

🤖 Context

YES if between 8:32:55 PM UTC on October 28, 2026 and no later than December 31, 2026 the Government of Canada publicly announces that it will proceed with an order for 88 CF-35A/F-35 aircraft. Otherwise NO. • A public announcement counts if issued as a Government of Canada, Prime Minister’s Office, or Department of National Defence press release, a ministerial or parliamentary statement, a procurement contract award, or an equivalent on-the-record public statement. • If no single government publication exists, the market resolves YES if two or more independent national or international news outlets explicitly report that the government has publicly committed to ordering 88 CF-35A/F-35 jets. • Statements that only say the government is "considering", will "study" or "review", refer only to a future procurement process, say "up to 88" without an explicit commitment to 88, or state a different firm number count as NO. • Source: Government of Canada, Prime Minister’s Office, Department of National Defence, or independent national or international news outlets.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Jan 1, 2027, and the market is expected to resolve on Jan 2, 2027. The outcome will be settled against cbc.ca. For now, the crowd puts YES at 67%, based on 0 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

67%

Predictions made

0

Credits staked

0

Comments

1

Opened

Oct 28, 2026

Closes

Jan 1, 2027

Expected resolution

Jan 2, 2027

Resolution source

cbc.ca

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Jan 1, 2027, and it's expected to resolve on Jan 2, 2027.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 67% and NO 33%, based on 0 predictions and 0 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against cbc.ca once the outcome is known.

Is “Will Canada publicly commit to buying 88 F-35 jets?” real-money betting?

No. “Will Canada publicly commit to buying 88 F-35 jets?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.