Will any city or department in metropolitan France be put under a legally binding curfew?

94%
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67%
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YES if the Government of Canada publicly announces an exact integer total of F‑35 aircraft to be procured (including zero), or publicly announces cancellation, on or after October 30, 2026 and no later than March 31, 2027, otherwise NO. • Resolution requires either two or more independent authoritative news outlets reporting the public announcement of the exact integer total or cancellation. • Or the Government publishes an official procurement document or a Department of National Defence / Public Services and Procurement Canada / Prime Minister’s Office press release specifying an exact integer total or cancellation, and at least one independent authoritative news outlet also reports it. • Announcements that only give a range, say “up to X”, present an open plan, propose a mixed fleet without an explicit integer total, or defer the decision do not count. • Source: Government of Canada; independent news outlets (e.g. CBC, Reuters, The Globe and Mail, AP).
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Apr 1, 2027, and the market is expected to resolve on Apr 1, 2027. The outcome will be settled against cbc.ca. For now, the crowd puts YES at 67%, based on 0 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledGiven the timeline and the specific requirements for a clear announcement, it's quite likely Canada will finalize the F-35 numbers by early 2027. Expect a definitive integer to emerge.

94%
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74%
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35%
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32%
-2% last 24h

40%
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65%
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