Will Bitcoin be at least $80,000 on Binance on October 28?

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Resolved: No
Results Aug 3YES if the Binance BTC/USDT spot price at 10:00:00 UTC on August 3, 2026 is greater than or equal to $63,000, otherwise NO. Use the price of the most recent trade on Binance's BTC/USDT spot market with a timestamp at or before 10:00:00 UTC on August 3, 2026, and if no such trade exists use the close price of Binance's 1-minute candle for 10:00:00–10:00:59 UTC. Exact equality to $63,000 counts as YES and Binance is the authoritative source.
How markets are built and settled41%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 59% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Extracted condition: Binance BTC/USDT spot price at 2026-08-03T10:00:00Z >= $63,000 (use most recent trade <= that timestamp; fallback: 1-min kline close for 10:00:00–10:00:59). Supplied observation: Binance hourly prices report the price at 2026-08-03 10:00 UTC = $62,837.4 (the value is stated to be the price at that exact instant). Comparison: 62,837.4 < 63,000, so the condition is not met. Therefore outcome: NO.
Source: binance.comSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled
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