Will Brent crude close at or above $116 per barrel on October 30?

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Resolved: No
Results Oct 28The market resolves yes if Clutch's finalized total diamonds earned by players from playing partner mobile games via the games screen during the UTC calendar day October 27, 2026 is at least 263,000. Clutch's finalized record for that UTC day shows players earned 150,058 diamonds through the games screen on October 27, 2026. Because 150,058 is less than 263,000, the condition is not met and the market resolves no.
How markets are built and settled14%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 86% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Extracted condition: Clutch's finalized total diamonds earned by players playing partner mobile games via the games screen during the UTC calendar day 2026-10-27 must be >= 263,000 to resolve YES. Target window: 2026-10-27T00:00:00+00:00 up to but not including 2026-10-28T00:00:00+00:00. Observed value from Clutch (finalized daily total): 150,058 diamonds for 2026-10-27 (covers 00:00 UTC through end of that day). Comparison: 150,058 < 263,000, so the condition is not met. Outcome: NO.
Source: clutch.vipSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledWith about 80,000 at 6:50 PM, it still seems difficult to reach before tomorrow. So we would need to multiply this number by almost 4. That's a lot.
With just under 48,000 diamonds won at 2:17 PM, for me it is sure and certain that we will not reach the required threshold to bet on YES. Bet on NO.
Chance
That seems like a lot 🤔🤷🏼♀️
Bet to try, no

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