Will the Falcon 9 first stage on Starlink 15-16 land successfully on the droneship 'Of Course I Still Love You'?

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Resolved: Yes
Results Sep 21YES if at 20:00 CEST on September 21, 2026 the METAR for Berlin‑Brandenburg Airport (EDDB) or a Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) observation station located within the Berlin city boundary reports sky condition 'SCT' (scattered) or clearer (FEW/CLEAR), or if a timestamped public HD webcam image from central Berlin (for example Alexanderplatz or the Brandenburg Gate) clearly shows direct sun or a clear sky at that minute. If multiple sources disagree, the METAR/DWD report recorded at 20:00 or within five minutes after 20:00 takes priority. Prefer METAR/DWD reports. Accept webcam images as supporting evidence when official station reports are unavailable. Otherwise NO.
How markets are built and settled57%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 57% sure, and they nailed it.
Given the reports and typical weather patterns for Berlin in September, it's likely we'll see at least scattered clouds. I'm betting on yes, especially with the METAR's reliability.

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