Will Luis Redondo, former president of the National Congress, be arrested or detained by Honduran authorities?

45%
-13% last 24h

95%
Stable · last 24h
YES if two or more independent national news outlets credibly report that at least one named French lycée or at least one named French university was reported as blocked between 00:00 and 23:59:59 on November 5, 2026 (Paris local time). Otherwise NO. • At least one named French lycée OR at least one named French university must be reported as blocked ("bloqué", "occupé" or equivalent) on that date. • Reports based only on social media, anonymous accounts, single local blogs, or a single news outlet do not qualify. • Source: two or more independent national news outlets (e.g. AFP, Franceinfo).
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Nov 4, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Nov 6, 2026. The outcome will be settled against cnews.fr. For now, the crowd puts YES at 95%, based on 472 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledGiven how things are going, this might last a bit longer (unless an announcement of a measure that would satisfy the students is made, but... that would be surprising)
For now, no calming measures have been announced, so there’s no reason for the movement to calm down. And many actions are planned for November 5.
Like before the holidays
That's how it is
Image of France towards its president

45%
-13% last 24h

74%
Stable · last 24h

35%
Stable · last 24h

31%
-1% last 24h

39%
Stable · last 24h

65%
Stable · last 24h
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