🚀Science·SpaceCloses Oct 27
Will the Falcon 9 first stage on Starlink 15-16 land successfully on the droneship 'Of Course I Still Love You'?
90%
Stable · last 24h
215 bets · 9.4K credits7
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ScienceOpened Oct 19 · Results Oct 21
Will any official weather station in Gard, Hérault, Lozère, Bouches‑du‑Rhône, Var, Ardèche, Vaucluse or Haute‑Corse record a wind gust of at least 100 km/h?
77%
Stable · last 24h
📊 117 bettors💎 4.5K at stake
ResolvedYes
Resolved: Yes
Results Oct 21🤖 Context
YES if at least one official meteorological station physically located in any of the named departments records an observed maximum instantaneous wind gust of 100 km/h or greater between 00:00 on October 20, 2026 and 00:00 on October 21, 2026, inclusive. Otherwise NO. • Only measured instantaneous gusts recorded by official meteorological stations count. • Stations must be physically located in the listed departments. Offshore or ship measurements do not count. • Source: Météo‑France (station observations). Departmental meteorological services or prefectural communiqués quoting measured station gusts are also accepted.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
Yes77%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 77% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Yes. According to live reports of the weather on October 20, 2026 (Mediterranean episode with intense thunderstorms), gusts of over 100 km/h were recorded notably: At Cap Cépet and Dramont (Var) In La Ciotat (Bouches-du-Rhône) These stations are official posts physically located in the listed departments (Var and Bouches-du-Rhône are part of the affected areas). The resolution period covers exactly the day of October 20, 2026 (00:00–00:00 UTC+2),
Source: bfmtv.comKey facts
- Crowd probability
- 77%
- Predictions made
- 117
- Credits staked
- 4,499
- Comments
- 2
- Opened
- Oct 19, 2026
- Closes
- Oct 19, 2026
- Resolved
- Oct 21, 2026
- Outcome
- Yes
- Resolution source
- bfmtv.com
🔍 Sources
Sources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledRelated predictions
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