Will the Falcon 9 first stage on Starlink 15-16 land successfully on the droneship 'Of Course I Still Love You'?

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Market closed. Awaiting resolution.
Results Oct 26YES if any official DWD-operated synoptic or automatic station in the Federal Republic of Germany records and publishes an observed instantaneous wind gust (maximum gust) of at least 100.0 km/h timestamped between 00:00 on 23 October 2026 and 23:59:59 on 25 October 2026 Central European Summer Time (CEST), otherwise NO. • Only observed instantaneous wind gusts (maximum gust) count. The gust must be recorded and published by an official DWD synoptic or automatic station located within the Federal Republic of Germany. • Reports in m/s are converted to km/h by multiplying by 3.6 and the official published number is used. Preferred sources are DWD station observations or DWD situation reports; equivalent official state meteorological agency station logs or major German national/regional media quoting an official DWD station observation are admissible. • Source: Deutsche Wetterdienst (DWD).
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Oct 22, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Oct 26, 2026. The outcome will be settled against wetter.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 62%, based on 1 prediction.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledGiven the forecast ahead, hitting 100 km/h gusts in this window seems likely. Weather patterns suggest strong winds could develop around then.

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