Will Xi Jinping and Donald Trump meet face-to-face?

38%
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78%
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YES if, no later than 12:00 CEST on September 21, 2026, any department in the Occitanie region shows at least one zone at the 'crise' (water crisis) level on the national Propluvia drought portal or on the official website/publication (arrêté) of the relevant Préfecture. Otherwise NO. Contemporaneous reporting by major French media may be accepted as corroboration.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 21, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 21, 2026. The outcome will be settled against franceinfo.fr. For now, the crowd puts YES at 78%, based on 134 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledThe rain has fallen very little, and the little that falls does not yet penetrate the ground.
Given the current drought concerns in Occitanie, it's highly likely at least one area will reach 'crise' restrictions by the deadline. The situation is critical right now.

38%
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40%
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74%
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62%
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79%
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22%
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