Will any metropolitan French department be on orange or red heatwave alert on September 6?

🤖 Context

YES if Météo‑France's official Vigilance archive map for September 6, 2026 shows at any time that at least one metropolitan French department, a metropolitan coastal zone, or the national 'FRANCE' roll‑up is at orange or red for the Canicule (heatwave) hazard. Otherwise NO. Only the Canicule/heatwave hazard counts. Overseas departments and other hazards do not count.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Sep 5, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 7, 2026. The outcome will be settled against vigilance.meteofrance.fr. For now, the crowd puts YES at 85%, based on 165 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

85%

Predictions made

165

Credits staked

6,162

Comments

1

Opened

Sep 5, 2026

Closes

Sep 5, 2026

Expected resolution

Sep 7, 2026

Resolution source

vigilance.meteofrance.fr

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Sep 5, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Sep 7, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 85% and NO 15%, based on 165 predictions and 6.2K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against vigilance.meteofrance.fr once the outcome is known.

Is “Will any metropolitan French department be on orange or red heatwave alert on September 6?” real-money betting?

No. “Will any metropolitan French department be on orange or red heatwave alert on September 6?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.