Will Tropical Storm Moke make landfall on Hawaii, Maui, Oahu, Kauai, Molokai, or Lanai?

74%
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73%
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Market closed. Awaiting resolution.
Awaiting resultYES if the Deutsche Fußball Liga (DFL) or an official match report from a hosting club or the match referee publicly states that any match scheduled as part of the Bundesliga 4th matchday, played between September 18 and September 20, 2026 (inclusive), was postponed prior to kickoff, was abandoned/cancelled during play, or was suspended or interrupted for at least 15 minutes, and that official communication explicitly names weather (for example heavy rain, lightning, storm) as the reason. Otherwise NO. The market will be settled based on statements from the DFL, official club match reports, or the match referee, and contemporaneous reporting by major German sports outlets quoting those official sources may be used to confirm.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 17, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 21, 2026. The outcome will be settled against wetter.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 73%, based on 93 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledWeather conditions are unpredictable, but with a few days before the matches, it's unlikely they'll be postponed or interrupted unless a storm hits hard. That's a low probability right now.

74%
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76%
Stable · last 24h

65%
Stable · last 24h

69%
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36%
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74%
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