Will a tropical cyclone in the Eastern North Pacific be named 'Norbert'?

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YES if, according to AEMET's Meteoalerta archived warnings for 13 September 2026 (local Spain date), at least one Spanish area was assigned an 'aviso naranja' (orange) or 'aviso rojo' (red) specifically for wind at any time on that date. Contemporary reports from major Spanish outlets that explicitly state an aviso naranja or aviso rojo for wind that day are also acceptable evidence. Otherwise NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 12, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 14, 2026. The outcome will be settled against aemet.es. For now, the crowd puts YES at 23%, based on 9 predictions.
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