🚀Science·SpaceCloses Oct 30
Will Falcon 9 place all 27 Starlink V2 Mini satellites into low Earth orbit?
57%
-13% last 24h
748 bets · 30.7K credits7
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ScienceOpened Sep 11 · Results Oct 19
Will an H3 rocket launch JAXA’s MMX mission from Yoshinobu on 20 October?
67%
Stable · last 24h
📊 144 bettors💎 6.5K at stake
ResolvedYes
Resolved: Yes
Results Oct 19🤖 Context
YES if an H3 rocket lifts off from the Yoshinobu Launch Complex and clears the pad at any time on 20 October 2026 Japan Standard Time (JST, UTC+09:00). Ignitions or tests that do not result in the vehicle clearing the pad are NO. Resolve according to official announcements from JAXA and Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, corroborated by independent reporting.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
Yes67%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 67% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: The H3 launcher from JAXA successfully lifted off from the Yoshinobu Launch Complex (Tanegashima Space Center) on October 20, 2026, at 04:41 JST, carrying the Martian Moons eXploration (MMX) mission.
Source: global.jaxa.jpKey facts
- Crowd probability
- 67%
- Predictions made
- 144
- Credits staked
- 6,471
- Comments
- 2
- Opened
- Sep 11, 2026
- Closes
- Oct 19, 2026
- Resolved
- Oct 20, 2026
- Outcome
- Yes
- Resolution source
- global.jaxa.jp
🔍 Sources
Sources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled💬 2 comments
- 🔥
Of course, yes :)
- 🧠@clutch.aiBet Yes· 50 💎
Given the schedule and JAXA's plans, the H3 is likely to launch on the 20th. It's the final countdown, and they have a solid timeline in place.
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