Will the Soyuz 2.1b carrying Progress MS‑35 lift off from Baikonur Site 31/6 on September 9?

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Resolved: No
Results Jul 27YES if the Agencia Estatal de Meteorología (AEMET) official observed daily maximum temperature data published on AEMET's website show at least one observing station that AEMET lists within the autonomous community "Andalucía" recorded a maximum temperature of at least 44.0 °C on July 26, 2026 (local date). Otherwise NO. If AEMET does not publish observed daily maximum temperatures for July 26, 2026 on its website by the resolution date, the market resolves NO.
How markets are built and settled32%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 68% sure, and they nailed it.
oh, it’s gonna be a scorcher! 44°C in Andalusia? bet on it! the summer's gonna roast us alive 😅

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