Will Amazon be one of the five largest US-listed companies by market cap?

97%
Stable · last 24h

70%
-13% last 24h
YES if Anthropic publicly releases Fable 5.2 between 8:43 AM UTC on November 8, 2026 and no later than 4:59 AM UTC on November 16, 2026, and Kalshi marks the market KXCLAUDE-FABLE52-26NOV16 as "finalized" with an official YES. Otherwise NO. • A release must be an explicit public announcement by Anthropic on its official website or official Anthropic channels. • Closed or private betas do not count. Availability via a paid tier does count. • Source: Kalshi market page for ticker KXCLAUDE-FABLE52-26NOV16 and Anthropic official announcements.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Nov 16, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Nov 16, 2026. The outcome will be settled against kalshi.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 70%, based on 246 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settled
97%
Stable · last 24h

46%
Stable · last 24h

22%
-9% last 24h

14%
-5% last 24h

29%
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31%
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