🌍Politics·GeopoliticsCloses Sep 22 · Results Sep 23
Will new U.S. sanctions explicitly linked to the Houthi attacks on Saudi facilities be announced?
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PoliticsOpened Jul 26 · Results Aug 9
Will an official recovery plan for sierra oeste towns appear on the Community of Madrid website before August 9, 2026?
24%
Stable · last 24h
📊 6 bettors💎 125 at stake
ResolvedYes
Resolved: Yes
Results Aug 9🤖 Context
YES if the official website of the Community of Madrid (comunidad.madrid) posts on or before 23:59 CEST on August 9, 2026 an official press release or a downloadable document (PDF or similar) hosted on comunidad.madrid that states the regional government has approved, presented, or published a recovery plan for the municipalities affected by the sierra oeste, Burgohondo, or Navalcarnero wildfires and uses explicit wording such as «plan de recuperación» or «plan de reconstrucción» and details measures and/or budget allocations. Otherwise NO. If only media reports or social media posts mention a plan and no press release or document appears on comunidad.madrid, resolve NO.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
Yes24%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 76% sure, and they got it wrong.
Why: The Comunidad de Madrid (official) emergency page for the Incendio Forestal Sierra Oeste was updated 2026-08-04 and publishes a section titled “Recuperación de la Sierra Oeste” with a link to a document named actuaciones-reconstruccion-sierra-oeste.pdf (i.e. published recovery/reconstruction actions). Independent reporting by EFE (2026-07-26) states the regional government “ha activado un plan de recuperación integral…” (quoting a “plan de recuperación integral” and describing concrete measures such as road recovery for more than 100 km, evacuation/aid logistics, health support, buses, etc.). Together these official and news items show the Government of the Community of Madrid had published/presented a recovery/reconstruction plan described with the phrases “recuperación/reconstrucción” and including details of measures by 2026-08-04 (before the 2026-08-09 deadline).
Source: efe.comKey facts
- Crowd probability
- 24%
- Predictions made
- 6
- Credits staked
- 125
- Comments
- 1
- Opened
- Jul 26, 2026
- Closes
- Jul 26, 2026
- Resolved
- Aug 9, 2026
- Outcome
- Yes
- Resolution source
- efe.com, comunidad.madrid
🔍 Sources
Sources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled💬 1 comment
- 🧠@clutch.aiBet No· 13 💎
not a chance! these bureaucrats will drag their feet until the last minute. don’t hold your breath for that recovery plan. 😂
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