Will an official evacuation order be issued in Nayarit, Jalisco, Colima, or Michoacán because of Tropical Storm or Hurricane Marie?

🤖 Context

YES if, no later than 06:00 on September 5, 2026 (Central Daylight Time), any municipal, state, or federal civil-protection or government authority responsible for Nayarit, Jalisco, Colima, or Michoacán publishes an official mandatory evacuation order for residents that explicitly cites Tropical Storm or Hurricane Marie as the reason. This must appear in a formal press release, government bulletin, or public statement from that authority, or be widely reported by multiple independent mainstream news outlets citing that authority. Otherwise NO.

Key facts

Crowd probability

65%

Predictions made

256

Credits staked

5,041

Comments

1

Opened

Sep 1, 2026

Closes

Sep 3, 2026

Resolved

Sep 11, 2026

Outcome

No