Will Ahyi Seamount reach 'WATCH' (heightened alert) or higher?

🤖 Context

YES if the USGS Volcano Hazards Program records Ahyi Seamount's Volcano Alert Level as WATCH (heightened alert) or WARNING at any time strictly after 00:00 UTC on August 31, 2026 and strictly before 00:00 UTC on September 3, 2026. The USGS Volcano Hazards Program (volcano‑updates page or Hans2 notice) is the authoritative source. Otherwise NO.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Aug 31, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 3, 2026. The outcome will be settled against volcanoes.usgs.gov. For now, the crowd puts YES at 26%, based on 46 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

26%

Predictions made

46

Credits staked

768

Comments

1

Opened

Aug 30, 2026

Closes

Aug 31, 2026

Expected resolution

Sep 3, 2026

Resolution source

volcanoes.usgs.gov

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Aug 31, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Sep 3, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 26% and NO 74%, based on 46 predictions and 768 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against volcanoes.usgs.gov once the outcome is known.

Is “Will Ahyi Seamount reach 'WATCH' (heightened alert) or higher?” real-money betting?

No. “Will Ahyi Seamount reach 'WATCH' (heightened alert) or higher?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.