Will Ahyi Seamount reach "WATCH" (heightened alert) or higher?

🤖 Context

YES if the USGS Volcano Hazards Program records Ahyi Seamount's official Volcano Alert Level as WATCH or WARNING at any time at or after 00:00 on August 19, 2026 and no later than 00:00 on August 22, 2026. The decision is based on the USGS Volcano Hazards Program, or equivalent clear reporting by major independent news outlets that explicitly state the USGS alert level. Otherwise NO.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Aug 19, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 22, 2026. The outcome will be settled against volcanoes.usgs.gov. For now, the crowd puts YES at 38%, based on 40 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

38%

Predictions made

40

Credits staked

1,359

Comments

1

Opened

Aug 18, 2026

Closes

Aug 19, 2026

Expected resolution

Aug 22, 2026

Resolution source

volcanoes.usgs.gov

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Aug 19, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Aug 22, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 38% and NO 62%, based on 40 predictions and 1.4K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against volcanoes.usgs.gov once the outcome is known.

Is “Will Ahyi Seamount reach "WATCH" (heightened alert) or higher?” real-money betting?

No. “Will Ahyi Seamount reach "WATCH" (heightened alert) or higher?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.