Will Amazon Leo have 400 or more satellites in orbit by Aug 31, 2026?

59%
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25%
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YES if the National Park Service (Grand Canyon National Park) publishes an official update no later than August 31, 2026 that explicitly states additional flash flooding occurred in Bright Angel Canyon or the Phantom Ranch area on August 31, 2026. Official updates include park news releases, park alerts/status pages, Grand Canyon River Alerts, or other National Park Service communications, and contemporary major wire reporting that directly quotes an NPS official also counts. If the NPS only issues advisory language about possible thunderstorms or flooding without explicitly confirming additional flash flooding on August 31, 2026, the market resolves NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 1, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 1, 2026. The outcome will be settled against foxweather.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 25%, based on 2 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledGiven the timing and the need for explicit confirmation from the NPS, it seems unlikely additional flash flooding will be officially reported today. Bet on NO.

59%
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38%
Stable · last 24h

70%
Stable · last 24h

69%
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75%
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59%
Stable · last 24h
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