Will Falcon 9 place all 27 Starlink V2 Mini satellites into low Earth orbit?

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Resolved: No
Results Sep 1YES if the National Park Service (Grand Canyon National Park) publishes an official update no later than August 31, 2026 that explicitly states additional flash flooding occurred in Bright Angel Canyon or the Phantom Ranch area on August 31, 2026. Official updates include park news releases, park alerts/status pages, Grand Canyon River Alerts, or other National Park Service communications, and contemporary major wire reporting that directly quotes an NPS official also counts. If the NPS only issues advisory language about possible thunderstorms or flooding without explicitly confirming additional flash flooding on August 31, 2026, the market resolves NO.
How markets are built and settled23%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 77% sure, and they nailed it.
Given the timing and the need for explicit confirmation from the NPS, it seems unlikely additional flash flooding will be officially reported today. Bet on NO.

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