Will a SpaceX Falcon 9 carrying the final three O3b mPOWER satellites for SES lift off from SLC‑40, Cape Canaveral on September 13?

🤖 Context

YES if SpaceX, SES, or at least two independent reputable news outlets publicly report that a Falcon 9 carrying the O3b mPOWER F payload lifted off from SLC‑40, Cape Canaveral during the scheduled window on September 13, 2026. The scheduled window opens at 2:40 PM Eastern Daylight Time. Pad ignitions without vehicle departure or an announced scrub count as NO. Examples of reputable outlets include Spaceflight Now, Reuters, or AP.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Sep 13, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 13, 2026. The outcome will be settled against spaceflightnow.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 55%, based on 39 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

55%

Predictions made

39

Credits staked

1,208

Comments

1

Opened

Sep 9, 2026

Closes

Sep 13, 2026

Expected resolution

Sep 13, 2026

Resolution source

spaceflightnow.com

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Sep 13, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Sep 13, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 55% and NO 45%, based on 39 predictions and 1.2K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against spaceflightnow.com once the outcome is known.

Is “Will a SpaceX Falcon 9 carrying the final three O3b mPOWER satellites for SES lift off from SLC‑40, Cape Canaveral on September 13?” real-money betting?

No. “Will a SpaceX Falcon 9 carrying the final three O3b mPOWER satellites for SES lift off from SLC‑40, Cape Canaveral on September 13?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.