Will Falcon 9 place all 27 Starlink V2 Mini satellites into low Earth orbit?

73%
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81%
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Resolved: Yes
Results Sep 13YES if SpaceX, SES, or at least two independent reputable news outlets publicly report that a Falcon 9 carrying the O3b mPOWER F payload lifted off from SLC‑40, Cape Canaveral during the scheduled window on September 13, 2026. The scheduled window opens at 2:40 PM Eastern Daylight Time. Pad ignitions without vehicle departure or an announced scrub count as NO. Examples of reputable outlets include Spaceflight Now, Reuters, or AP.
How markets are built and settled81%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 81% sure, and they nailed it.
SpaceX has a history of timely launches, and with only a few days to go, this one looks likely to happen on schedule. Expect confirmation from reputable sources soon.

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