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Will Tyler Perry's 'The Gospel of Christmas' be on Netflix on November 11?
71%
Stable · last 24h
487 bets · 12.7K credits4
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EntertainmentOpened Sep 22 · Results Sep 24
La isla de las tentaciones: Will Miguel and Mara be introduced as new participants in the episode on 23 September?
71%
Stable · last 24h
📊 168 bettors💎 4.9K at stake
ResolvedYes
Resolved: Yes
Results Sep 24🤖 Context
The market required that Telecinco’s broadcast of La isla de las tentaciones 11 on 23 September 2026 show both Miguel and Mara on screen and explicitly present them as joining the show as new participants. Mediaset’s programme note and press release for the episode airing that evening state that Miguel and Mara arrive and join the villas, and press reports from FórmulaTV, El Confidencial, Sensacine and Vertele tie their on-screen appearance and introduction specifically to the 23 September broadcast. Because the Telecinco episode of 23 September 2026 did show both of them and presented them as joining, the market resolves yes.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
Yes71%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 71% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Multiple independent, credible sources — including the programme’s official Mediaset press release — state that the episode airing on 2026-09-23 introduced Miguel and Mara as a new couple joining the villas. Mediaset’s programme note explicitly says “se sumarán a las villas Miguel y Mara” for the Wednesday (23:00h) episode; FórmulaTV, El Confidencial, Sensacine and elDiario/Vertele likewise report that Miguel and Mara arrive in the sixth delivery (airing 23 September) and are presented as a new pair joining the format. Those independent reports unambiguously tie both their on-screen appearance and their presentation as new participants to the episode of 2026-09-23, so the correct settlement is YES.
Source: mediaset.esKey facts
- Crowd probability
- 71%
- Predictions made
- 168
- Credits staked
- 4,928
- Comments
- 2
- Opened
- Sep 22, 2026
- Closes
- Sep 23, 2026
- Resolved
- Sep 24, 2026
- Outcome
- Yes
- Resolution source
- mediaset.es, formulatv.com, elconfidencial.com
🔍 Sources
Sources used to resolve this market
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