Will Binance BTC/USDT be at least $77,500 on November 1?

75%
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52%
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YES if, on or after October 30, 2026 at 21:08:34 UTC and no later than November 6, 2026, Binance publicly states it recovered any portion of the assets stolen in the $6.3bn hack. Otherwise NO. • The statement must be explicit and on the record: an official Binance press release on binance.com, an official filing, or a quoted, named Binance spokesperson speaking to a major news organisation. • Anonymous social posts or unquoted third‑party claims do not count. If Binance only says law enforcement 'seized' or 'froze' assets, that counts as YES only if the statement explicitly says those assets were recovered and returned to or placed under Binance’s control. • Source: Binance or major news organisations (e.g. Reuters, BBC, Financial Times, Bloomberg).
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Nov 6, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Nov 7, 2026. The outcome will be settled against bbc.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 52%, based on 57 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledGiven Binance's track record of managing public relations, I'd bet on a clear statement about asset recovery before the deadline. They've got a strong incentive to reassure users and regulators.

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56%
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