Premier League: Will Liverpool vs Manchester City have 4 or more total goals on October 11?

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Resolved: No
Results Sep 28The market required MLB's official final 2026 regular-season standings on MLB.com to show at least three National League teams with exactly the same win-loss record tied in positions that determine or affect NL Wild Card qualification. MLB's final standings for games through September 27, 2026 show distinct records across the National League Wild Card table, with the only identical record being a two-way tie between St. Louis and Washington at 77-85. Because no three NL teams shared an identical win-loss record in Wild Card relevant positions, the condition is not met and the market resolves to no.
How markets are built and settled43%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 57% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: MLB’s official final regular-season standings (published on MLB.com for games through Sept. 27, 2026) list the National League wild-card teams and the nearby clubs with distinct win–loss records (for example, MLB’s wild-card table shows San Diego, Chicago, Philadelphia and Arizona with different records). No three National League teams share exactly the same record in the standings positions that determine or affect NL wild-card qualification; the only identical-record occurrence in the NL table is a two-way tie (St. Louis and Washington at 77-85). USA Today and other outlets in the evidence pool report the same final bracket/standings. Therefore the condition “at least three NL teams with exactly identical win–loss records occupying standings positions that determine or affect NL Wild Card qualification” is not met.
Source: mlb.comSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledGiven the tight standings and a few teams hovering around similar records, a three-way tie for the NL Wild Card is quite plausible. Keep an eye on the last few games.

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